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Analysis : Middle
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US Vice President attempts to strongarm Iraqi political leaders
By James Cogan
11 May 2007
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US Vice President Dick Cheney flew into Baghdad on Wednesday
to insist that the various political factions within the Iraqi
parliament accept Washingtons demands and ratify legislation
that the Bush administration can present as signs of progress
in the Iraq war.
According to the New York Times, Cheney engaged in 12
hours of intense discussions. He held separate meetings with Prime
Minister Nouri al-Maliki, a Shiite; President Jalal Talabani,
a Kurd; and Vice President Tariq al-Hashemi, a Sunni; in a bid
to get agreement from the rival ethnic and sectarian parties.
He also met with the ministers of oil, finances, interior and
foreign affairs; the Iraqi armys Baghdad commander; and
Abdul Aziz al-Hakim, leader of the Supreme Council for the Islamic
Revolution in Iraq (SCIRI), the largest Shiite faction in Malikis
government.
Cheney insisted that the Iraqi parliament cancel a two-month
break scheduled to begin on June 30 if it has not passed key pieces
of legislation. In January, the Bush administration issued an
ultimatum to the Shiite and Kurdish parties that dominate Malikis
government. It demanded that they enact a US-drafted oil law and
make a range of political and economic concessions to the Sunni
Arab establishment that formed the upper echelon of Saddam Husseins
regime and was marginalised by the US occupation.
The White House considers these measures essential to stemming
the predominantly Sunni anti-occupation insurgency and creating
the conditions to exploit Iraqs vast oil and gas resources.
Cheney told a press conference: I did make it clear that
we believe it is very important to move on the issues before us
in a timely fashion and that any undue delay would be difficult
to explain. Making clear the urgency, Cheney told the Iraqi
factions: We hoped they would approach these issues with
all deliberate dispatch.
Cheney is the third senior Bush official to travel to Iraq
in the past month to pressure the government in Baghdad to implement
Washingtons demands. Defense Secretary William Gates held
talks with Maliki in April, while Secretary of State Condoleezza
Rice visited earlier this month en route to the recent international
conference on Iraqi security in Egypt.
The diplomatic activity is a clear sign of desperation in the
White House. Four years after Bush strutted the decks of an aircraft
carrier and declared victory in Iraq, a considerable proportion
of the US war machine is still tied down by an estimated 20,000
to 30,000 guerillas. The US military has proven incapable of defeating
the anti-occupation insurgency.
Domestically, Bush heads one of the most reviled administrations
in American history. The lies about weapons of mass destruction
used to justify an invasion, which has led to the deaths of thousands
of American soldiers and hundreds of thousands of Iraqis, have
long been exposed. Mass antiwar sentiment in the United States
resulted in an electoral debacle for the Republicans last November.
The vast majority of Americans want the war ended and troops withdrawn.
Within American ruling circles, the administration is the target
of increasingly bitter recriminations over the outcome of the
Iraq war. The domestic opposition to the quagmire in Iraq is becoming
an obstacle to the use of American military power for other purposes,
including against Iran.
The Bush administrations responsethe surge
announced in Januaryhas been to throw thousands of additional
troops into combat in Iraq and to try to refashion the puppet
government in Baghdad to include the Sunni factions. At the same
time, it is demanding that a crackdown against the Shiite faction
led by cleric Moqtada al-Sadr, which has become a focus for popular
opposition to the US occupation. The Pentagon also fears that
the Sadrist militia could attack American forces in the event
of any US confrontation with Irans Shiite regime.
However, four months after the surge was unveiled,
next to no progress has been made toward the US objectives. The
Shiite establishment continues to resist any reconciliation with
the Sunni elites that would lessen the power and privilege it
gained after Husseins overthrow. The Kurdish parties, which
have established a de-facto separate state in northern Iraq, are
resisting the oil law as it would give the central government
control over the oil resources in territory they control or aspire
to control.
The impasse created by the conflicting vested interests has
led Sunni-based parties to threaten to abandon the political process
altogether. Moqtada al-Sadrs movement has already responded
to US military attacks on its strongholds by walking out of Malikis
cabinet and organising anti-occupation protests. The armed resistance
to the occupationby both Sunni and Shiite guerilla groupsis
also burgeoning. US casualties in April were the highest for the
year. In summary, the surge is looming as another
political debacle for the Bush administration.
The crisis confronting the White House was exemplified by Cheneys
visit. As with every high profile visit to Iraq, the trip was
unannounced. He entered the country in secret wearing a bullet-proof
vest and was rushed under heavy guard from the airport to the
fortified Green Zone in central Baghdad.
Word of Cheneys presence spread and provoked a hostile
reaction. Angry demonstrations were held by the Sadrist movement
in Baghdad, Najaf and Karbala, denouncing the US occupation and
labelling the US vice president a sponsor of terrorism.
In the late afternoon, a rocket fired from the predominantly Shiite
suburbs to the east of the Green Zone shook the building where
he was meeting with Iraqi politicians.
Despite hours of talks, Cheney effectively left empty-handed.
Maliki could give no commitment to pass the legislation wanted
by Washington or even to ensure that parliament would continue
sitting past June 30. By contrast, the day before Cheneys
visit, Sadrist legislators secured a parliamentary majority for
a non-binding resolution demanding the US set a timetable for
the withdrawal of all its military forces.
In Washington, the Bush administration is no doubt weighing
up other options. If the present political set-up in Baghdad will
not serve US ends, the alternative is to dispense with the Iraqi
parliament altogether and impose an openly dictatorial form of
rule.
See Also:
Iraq: clashes mount between US forces
and Sadrist militia
[9 May 2007]
Iraq war "surge" claims lives
of 12 more US soldiers
[8 May 2007]
International conference on Iraq: bitter
antagonisms on display
[7 May 2007]
Pressure mounts on Iraqi government
as Sunni bloc threatens to pull out
[2 May 2007]
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