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Analysis : Middle
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International conference on Iraq: bitter antagonisms on display
By Peter Symonds
7 May 2007
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The Bush administrations efforts to enlist support for
the disastrous US occupation of Iraq at the international conference
in the Egyptian resort of Sharm el-Sheikh on May 3-4 produced
very little. Under pressure from Washington, some of Iraqs
creditors consented to provide debt relief to Baghdad and neighbouring
countries agreed to do more to block arms and insurgents entering
Iraq. However, the sharpening regional tensions produced by the
illegal US invasion of Iraq and threats of aggression against
Iran and Syria were never far from the surface.
Much of the media commentary on the conference, which included
all Iraqs neighbours as well as other Middle Eastern countries
and the permanent members of the UN Security Council, bordered
on the farcical. What was the significance of US Secretary of
State Condoleezza Rices 30-minute meeting with Syrian Foreign
Minister Walid al-Moallem? Was the failure of Iranian Foreign
Minister Manouchehr Mottaki to sit down to dinner opposite Rice
really a result of his objections to a Russian violinist and her
low-cut red dress? Did a three-minute encounter between the US
ambassador to Iraq and a deputy Iranian minister mark a thawing
of relations? These and other weighty questions have been dissected
at length.
Over the past six months, Washington has provocatively heightened
its confrontation with Tehran by a naval build-up in the Persian
Gulf and its none-too-subtle hints that a military strike on Irans
nuclear facilities remains an option. The US has steadfastly refused
any negotiations over Iranian nuclear programs unless Iran agrees
in advance to shut down its disputed uranium enrichment facilities.
Before the conference, Rice had narrowly limited potential dialogue
with her Iranian counterpart to the issue of Iraqi securitythat
is, to Washingtons unsubstantiated claims that Tehran is
providing arms and training to anti-US insurgents in Iraq.
Without the slightest hint of a compromise on Washingtons
part, it is hardly surprising that Iran declined the US offer
of an informal chat. As Irans Foreign Minister Mottaki explained
to the media: There was no time, no appointment and no plans.
A meeting between foreign ministers has certain requirements [such
as] political will and it also has to be clear on what basis such
a meeting would be held. If it had wanted to show good faith,
the Bush administration could have released five Iranian officials
seized by the US military in a raid on the Iranian liaison office
in northern Iraq in January, but refused Tehrans demands
to do so.
The short discussion with Syrian Foreign Minister Moallem simply
underscores the fact that Rices much-publicised overtures
involve no fundamental shift in US policy. Washington cut off
contact with Damascus after the assassination of former Lebanese
Prime Minister Rafik al-Hariri in February 2005 and has been pushing
in the UN for an international tribunal to hear the case. Syria,
which is accused of organising the murder, strongly opposes the
move. The Bush administration brands Syria, like Iran, as a state
sponsor of terrorism for backing the Lebanese Shiite organisation,
Hezbollah, and the Palestinian party, Hamas.
According to media accounts, talks between Rice and Moallem
focussed on US demands for Syria to stop anti-US insurgents infiltrating
into Iraq. Rice described the discussion as professional,
while Moallem declared that Syria was serious about improving
relations. However, no decisions were announced. Nothing
was discussed on substantive issues such as Hariri and Lebanon.
Moreover, the White House, which just last month roundly criticised
House Speaker Nancy Pelosi for visiting Syria, played down the
encounter in Sharm el-Sheikh as a sidebar conversion.
In recent months, the Bush administration has been seeking
to build an anti-Iranian alliance in the Middle East, by exploiting
fears among conservative Sunni states over Tehrans
growing influence in Iraq. Saudi Arabia in particular has assumed
a far more active diplomatic role in Lebanon, conducting talks
with Palestinian parties and elsewhere in the region in a bid
to isolate Iran.
According to the US-based Stratfor thinktank, the meeting between
Rice and Moallem may be part of efforts to break up Syrias
longstanding alliance with Iran. Saudi Arabia appears to
be the main driver behind Washingtons decision to engage
Syria, with an interest in weaning Syria away from the Iranian
orbit. The efforts to bring Syria back into the Arab fold have
mainly involved flooding Gulf petrodollars into the Syrian economy,
the article stated.
A shaky international compact
Similar manoeuvring surrounded the five-year International
Compact on Iraqthe only concrete outcome from the gathering.
In return for debt reduction of some $30 billion, the Iraqi government
of Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki agreed to implement a series
of economic and political benchmarks, largely drawn up by the
Bush administration.
At the top of the list is the implementation of an oil law
to enable American corporations to exploit the countrys
huge reserves. The Compact set a target for crude oil production
of 3.5 million barrels a day by 2011double the present figurewhich
would require substantial foreign investment in Iraqs dilapidated
and outdated infrastructure. It also set an economic growth figure
of 15.4 percent in 2007up from just 3 percent in 2006.
Many of the remaining yardsticks were aimed at meeting the
demands of neighbouring states for the inclusion of Sunnis, who
formed the social base of Saddam Husseins Baathist regime,
in the government and the state apparatus. Under the banner of
national reconciliation, these include an end to de-Baathification,
new provincial elections and the disbanding of Shiite militias.
Iraqs so-called Sunni neighboursincluding Saudi
Arabia, Jordan, Egypt and the Gulf statesregard the Shiite-dominated
government in Baghdad as too closely aligned with Tehran. As one
unnamed Arab diplomat told Time magazine: Al-Maliki
is not representing all of Iraqs people. He is too Iranian.
Hes serving Irans interests. The underlying
hostility was indicated by the refusal of Saudi Arabian Foreign
Minister Prince Saud al-Faisal to meet with Maliki at the conference.
Before the conference, Saudi King Abdullah also declined to meet
with the Iraqi prime minister during Malikis tour of neighbouring
states.
In criticisms targetted at the Maliki government, Prince Saud
told the New York Times: We dont see anything
happening in Iraq in implementation. Our American friends say
there is improvement: improvement in violence, improvement in
the level of understanding, improvement in disarming militias.
But we dont see it.
Former Egyptian ambassador to the US, Abdel Raouf el-Reedy
told the International Herald Tribune that the Arab states
faced a no-win situation. They realised that the longer
the United States stays in Iraq, the deeper and more complicated
Iraq could become as a problem. On the other hand, if the United
States leaves Iraq, there will be a vacuum, and who could fill
the vacuum? Iran is the most eligible force to fill that vacuum.
While most of Iraqs neighbours, under pressure from Washington,
begrudgingly offered some form of debt relief to Iraq, the benchmarks
contained in the compact provide plenty of pretexts for cancelling
any promises. Kuwait avoided making any definite commitment, saying
any debt measure would have to be ratified by parliament. In comments
to Associated Press, Maliki bluntly warned: We will see
the extent of the seriousness and commitment among these nations
to what they signed today. If these promises are not kept, we
will watch it, and there will be no reason to hold any further
conferences.
None of Washingtons Sunni allies at the conference
voiced any opposition to the US occupation of Iraq, the trampling
on basic democratic rights and the social disaster confronting
the Iraqi people. Their slavish support for the Bush administrations
criminal policies, which have evoked broad popular opposition
inside Iraq and throughout the Middle East, has made these governments
all the more sensitive to Irans limited opposition to the
US.
Having tacitly backed the US invasion in 2003 as a means of
removing its longstanding rival in Baghdad, Iran called at the
conference for a timetable for the withdrawal of foreign troops.
Responding to US accusations of arming insurgents, Iranian foreign
minister Mottaki told the delegates: The continuation of
and increase in terrorist acts in Iraq originates from the flawed
approaches adopted by foreign troops. Thus, in our view, the continuation
of [the] occupation lies at the origin of the crisis. The United
States must accept the responsibilities arising from the occupation
of Iraq, and should not finger point or put the blame on others.
Outside the rarified atmosphere of the conference, sections
of the Middle Eastern press reflected something of the broad opposition
to the US occupation of Iraq. A commentator in Egypts Al
Akhbar stated: If we want a clear and frank explanation
of this Sharm el-Sheikh conference and its aims, we would say
without hesitation that the situation in Iraq has reached a dead
end and that there is an almost total US failure in its objectives
and achievements. An editorial in Al-Arab Al-Alamiyah
bluntly declared: The Sharm el-Sheikh conference is being
held not to salvage Iraq but to save the US administration from
its numerous predicamentssecurity predicaments in Iraqand
political predicaments within America itself.
Far from providing a means for stabilising the US occupation
of Iraq, the conference simply provided a snapshot of the deepening
regional tensions fuelled by the Bush administrations invasion
and its preparations for a new military adventure against Iran.
See Also:
Report warns of civil war spreading to
Kurdish north of Iraq
[5 May 2007]
Iraq's "stable" south descends
into political chaos
[4 May 2007]
Pressure mounts on Iraqi government
as Sunni bloc threatens to pull out
[2 May 2007]
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