|
WSWS : News
& Analysis : Europe
: Russia
& the former USSR
Worsening conflict between Russia and Georgia driven by Washington-Moscow
rivalries
By Simon Whelan
30 October 2007
Use
this version to print
| Send this
link by email | Email
the author
A series of recent incidents in Georgias two breakaway
republics, South Ossetia and Abkhazia, have brought about a further
deteroriation in relations between the Putin administration in
Russia and the Georgian government of Mikhail Saakashvilli. Both
South Ossetia and Abkhazia receive suppport from Moscow.
Georgian authorities have complained to the United Nations
about alleged repeated Russian incursions into Georgian airspace
and have even claimed to have shot down a Russian fighter, which
they say crashed in Abkhazia, within the strategically crucial
and disputed Kodori Gorge. Georgian forces and a pro-Tbilisi government-in-exile
control part of the Kodori Gorge, but areas under control by both
sides are in constant flux.
In the other breakaway republic, firefights have repeatedly
broken out between South Ossetian forces and their Georgian counterparts.
More seriously, in mid-September, what Moscow called instructors
at an anti-terrorist training center were killed with
knife and gunshot wounds in Abkhazia by Georgian forces. When
Saakashvilli spoke at the United Nations General Assembly on September
26, he accused Russia of reckless and dangerous behaviour.
The Saakashvilli administration is being pressured, from both
within and without, into increasingly reckless adventures designed
to reunify the two breakaway republics with Georgia.
From within the country, the goodwill granted to Saakashvilli
is falling away across the social spectrum. As far as the Tbilisi
elite are concerned, Georgia is no closer to reunification with
the two breakaway republics than it was under the rule of Saakashvillis
predecessor Edvard Shevardnadze. From the perspective of Georgian
workers and peasants, the current building boom and increased
commercial activity in the capital Tbilisi cannot mask the stagnation
of already-meagre living standards. When Saakashvilli took over
from his former mentor, Georgias per capita income was lower
than Swazilands and more than half the population lived
in poverty. Little seems to have changed for the better in the
intervening five years.
From without, Georgia is being destabilised by Russian support
for the breakaway republics. In response, the Georgian governments
efforts to ingratiate itself with Washington in its drive to dominate
the energy resources of the region have become ever more determined.
Georgia now has 2,000 trooops in Iraqthe second largest
troop presence among Americas dwindlling allies, behind
Britain. The currying of favour with Washington is intended to
smooth the way for its application for NATO membership and in
return for US assistance in Georgias conflict with Moscow.
Reporting on the new Georgian troop deployment in Kut, Iraq,
Andrew Kramer for the New York Times spoke to Cpl. Georgi
N. Zedguidze, who said, As soldiers here, we help the American
soldiers. Then America as a country will help our country.
The Georgian government has also announced that the 2007 military
budget will rise by fully one third. Spending on the armed forces
will constitute US$769 million. Together with considerable American
aidGeorgia is the third largest recipient of US military
aid behind only Israel and Egyptthis represents an enormous
spending pledge by such a small country.
Last year, Georgia built a NATO standard military base in Senaki
at the de facto border with Abkhazia. Later this year, a similar
standard base will be opened on the border with South Ossetia.
Such a posture by a former Soviet republic infuriates the Putin
regime, which is in ever more open conflict with the US and is
utilising all measures at its disposal to destabilise the Saakshvilli
administration. Since 2003, the Russian government has stopped
the importation of Georgian produce into Russiaits nearest
and largest market. Moscow has cut off energy supplies in winter,
expelled Georgian workers from Russian soil and thereby ended
the flow of monies back to Georgia, continued to financially and
militarily support Abkhazia and South Ossetia, and, most dangerously,
attempted to draw Georgian forces into a direct military conflict.
The Putin regime is increasingly pressured by the US military
along its whole southern border.
The collapse of the Soviet Union changed the geo-politics of
the entire Eurasian landmass. A series of newly independent states
emerged on Russias borders in the Caucasus and Central Asia,
redrawing the geographical lines between former Soviet territory
and the Middle East, between the south Caucasus and the Middle
East and likewise between the Central Asian states. The borders
of the Soviet Union had extended as far south as Turkey and Iran.
For Moscow, the subsequent penetration of US military might
into Eurasia, in Afghanistan, Iraq, possibly Iran and various
Central Asian states, including Georgia, is an intolerable incursion
into its traditional sphere of influence.
February 2007 marked a watershed in the deterioration of Russian
relations with the US. President Putins speech at the Munich
conference on security policy directly accused the Bush regime
of international aggression and designs on Russian territory.
On a subsequent trip to the Middle East, Putin reiterated that
Russia was a great power that saw itself as a counterweight to
US imperialism.
The Russian government has identified America as its principal
adversary. In his May 9 Victory Day speech to commemorate
the 62nd anniversary of the Red Armys defeat of the Nazi
invasion, Putin made a comparison between the Third Reichs
drive to war and the foreign policy of the Bush administration.
He mourned the collapse of the Soviet Union as the greatest
geo-political catastrophe of the twentieth century.
For its part, the Bush administration is well aware of the
Russian proximity to the Middle East. The possibility of Russian
military forces entering Georgia from South Ossetia would bring
them just 250 miles from the Iranian border.
Washington is set on installing what it claims is a missile
defence shield in the Czech Republic and Poland supposedly directed
against Iran. But Moscow knows that the real target is Russia.
In mid-September, NATO also held a large naval exercise based
on the Ukrainian port of Sevestapol. The Black Sea port was formerly
the Soviet Unions main warm water port. Those included in
the exercise include Azerbaijan, Georgia and the host Ukraine.
At almost the same time, Russia, China and other Central Asian
states held joint military manoeuvres under the banner of the
Shanghai Cooperation Organisation.
In response to American encroachment, Moscow is prosecuting
a war by proxy against Washington on Georgian soil through its
support for Abkhazian and South Ossetian autonomy. Some voices
in the Russian media are agitating for what they call a small
war in Georgiaan echo of the claims made in the early
1990s around military aggression in Chechnya.
Russia has also sought to bolster its own military forces.
Earlier this year, Putin approved a US$200 billion, seven-year,
rearmament plan to build missiles, ships and planes. On August
17, he announced that a dozen missile-carrying bombers, supported
by tanker planes, will be permanently airborne. The resumption
of such flights comes after a 15-year hiatus and amidst a series
of aerial incidents between Russian and NATO forces, British and
American.
Days after the announcement of round-the-clock flights, the
Russian military reported that it had succesfuly tested a new
lethal air-delivered bomb. The thermobaric device has been described
as the worlds most lethal non-nuclear weapon. Channel One,
the state-controlled television station, said that the new weapon,
nicknamed the Father of all Bombs, is four times more
powerful than the US-made Mother of all Bombs.
The Bush regimes drive to dominate energy resources through
the invasion of Iraq has backfired badly. It has helped bring
about large rises in the price of oil and thereby strengthened
Russia, which is the worlds largest producer of oil and
gas and the largest exporter of oil outside of OPEC. With the
situation facing the US occupation worsening by the day, and its
own coffers full, Moscow has been emboldened to go on the offensive.
Putin has taunted Washington over its failure to suppress Iraqi
resistance and asked exactly what they have achieved in four years
of occupation. He has called for a timetable of withdrawal for
coalition forces from Iraq.
Pavel Feigenhauer, a Moscow-based military analyst, recently
told the BBC, For Baltic countries, for Poland and for those
who want to join NATO, like Georgia, their main reason to join
NATO is to have a guarantee against Russia. He continued
that Georgian membership in NATO makes NATO and Russia basically
enemies.... In a sense they are on a collision course. So a real
partnership is hardly possible and any expansion of NATO is seen,
in Russia, in Moscow, as a threat to our interests.
See Also:
More warnings of a US war on Iran
[29 October 2007]
Putin in Tehran: US-Russia rift widens
[18 October 2007]
Top of page
The WSWS invites your comments.
Copyright 1998-2008
World Socialist Web Site
All rights reserved |