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As Turkey-Iraq crisis escalates, US plans military strikes
on PKK bases
By Peter Symonds
24 October 2007
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With the Turkish military poised to strike the guerrilla bases
of the separatist Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK) in northern Iraq,
Washington and London are engaged in frantic diplomatic activity
to prevent a Turkish intervention that would further destabilise
the US occupation of Iraq. However, as the Chicago Tribune
reported yesterday, the Bush administration is also drawing up
plans for military attacks on the PKK, either by US forces or
jointly with the Turkish army.
The Turkish government has seized on recent PKK attacks inside
Turkey to justify a huge military buildup along the border with
Iraq. At least 60,000 heavily-armed soldiers, backed by tanks,
artillery, warplanes and helicopter gunships, have been assembled
to hit PKK camps in the rugged Qandil Mountains bordering Iraq,
Iran and Turkey. Last week, the Turkish parliament voted overwhelmingly
to authorise the government to order cross-border operations.
On Sunday, tensions reached boiling point after some 200 PKK
rebels attacked a Turkish army post, killing at least 12 soldiers
and capturing eight others. The Turkish military counterattacked,
pursuing the guerrillas over the border into Iraq. According to
the Turkish press, combat aircraft hit more than 60 targets inside
Iraq. However, Turkey held back from launching a large-scale invasion
into Iraqs Kurdish north.
The Turkish government is insisting that the US and Iraq take
action to destroy the PKKs bases, capture the PKK leaders
and hand them over to Ankara. In response, the US and Britain
pressed the Iraqi government and the Kurdish regional government
to deal with the PKK. A series of meetings over the past two days
in Washington, London and Baghdad has failed to the resolve the
issue.
After speaking to Prime Minister Gordon Brown in London, Turkish
Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan ominously warned: We
cannot wait forever... We have to make our own decision.
In Baghdad, Turkish Foreign Minister Ali Babacan, while calling
for a diplomatic solution, rejected out-of-hand the suggestion
of a ceasefire with the PKK, which he insisted was a terrorist
organisation.
US State Department spokesman Sean McCormack described the
frenzy of diplomatic activity as a full-court press
by Bush administration officials to prevent a Turkish invasion
of northern Iraq. The basketball analogy, however, implies a planned
strategy. It would be more appropriate to describe the US response
as one of sheer panic as the consequences of the Bush administrations
criminal invasion of Iraq and its reckless preparations for a
new war on Iran come home to roost.
The Kurdish north of Iraq is routinely hailed as the great
success story of the US occupation. In reality, it is a highly
unstable house of cards. As the pay off for their backing of the
US invasion in 2003, the Bush administration allowed the two major
Kurdish nationalist partiesthe Kurdish Democratic Party
(KDP) and the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK)to establish
an autonomous region in three northern provinces. From the outset,
Turkish leaders regarded the regional government as a threat that
would encourage broader Kurdish separatist sentiment. They were
particularly hostile to its demands for control of the northern
Iraqi city of Kirkuk, which has a sizeable Turkmen population,
and the surrounding oil fields.
The failure of the US to take any action against PKK guerrillas
entrenched in the Qandil Mountains has only heightened tensions
with Turkey. The PKK and its sister organisation, the Party for
Free Life in Kurdistan (PJAK), which operates inside Iran, have
been allowed to function freely in Iraqs northern provinces,
obtaining supplies and finance through its major cities. Despite
denials, there is ample evidence that the US and Israel have been
covertly arming and training PJAK guerrillas as a means of gathering
intelligence inside Iran and destabilising the Iranian regime.
The New York Times, for instance, published a lengthy story
yesterday citing a PJAK leader as saying there was normal
dialogue with American officials.
The lack of any clear cut dividing line between the PJAK and
PKKboth groups operate from the same mountainous areas,
share a similar Kurdish separatist program and common originsonly
underscores the Bush administrations hypocrisy and cynicism.
To keep US ally Turkey on side, the US has branded the PKK as
a terrorist organisation, but not the PJAK.
Any Turkish attack on the PKK/PJAK bases and Kurdish villages
in Iraq would inevitably provoke an angry reaction among Iraqi
Kurds and threaten to draw in Kurdish peshmerga militia units
and the Iraqi army. Such a move would be deeply destabilising,
not only for the Kurdish regional government, but also the Iraqi
government in Baghdad, which relies heavily on PUK/KDP support.
US military preparations
Washington is clearly desperate to prevent a Turkish military
intervention in Iraq or a breach in the US/Turkish alliance. Quite
apart from long-term strategic considerations, the US military
funnels around 70 percent of its air cargo to Iraq via a major
US air base in southern Turkey. At the same time, more than 1,000
Turkish troops are in Afghanistan as part of NATO forces, helping
to prop up the US-led occupation of that country.
While publicly calling for a diplomatic solution to the crisis,
the Bush administration is also making preparations for a military
assault on PKK bases. President Bush spoke to Turkish President
Abdullah Gul on Monday via telephone. According to White House
spokesman Gordon Johndroe, Bush offered reassurances to Gul that
the US would work with Turkey and Iraq to combat PKK terrorists
operating out of northern Iraq.
The Chicago Tribune yesterday reported that military
action was discussed. An unnamed US official familiar with the
Bush/Gul conversation told the newspaper that the US was seriously
looking into options beyond diplomacy to deal with the PKK. Its
not Kumbaya time anymorejust talking about trilateral
talks is not going to be enough. Something has to be done,
the official said.
A range of military options were being considered, including
air strikes and the use of cruise missiles against PKK bases.
Another option discussed was to persuade the Kurdish regional
government to use its militia forces to establish a cordon around
the mountains where the PKK is entrenched, in order to choke off
its supply routes. The deployment of US troops to hit the PKK
was considered to be a final resort.
Highlighting the fears in Washington, the US official told
the Chicago Tribune: In the past, there has been
reluctance to engage in direct US military action against the
PKK, either through air strikes or some kind of Special Forces
action. But the red line was always, if the Turks were going to
come over the border, it could be so destabilising that it might
be less risky for us to do something ourselves. Now the Turks
are at the end of their rope, and our risk calculus is changing.
Bushs discussion with Gul followed an urgent telephone
call on Sunday by US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice to Turkish
Prime Minister Erdogan, urging him to hold back from an immediate
military attack inside northern Iraq. Chicago Tribune reported
that Erdogan had given a 72-hour reprieve on any cross-border
attack. The Turkish government is under pressure from the military
and opposition parties, particularly extreme right-wing nationalists,
to launch a military operation. At the same time, however, it
is deeply concerned about an open breach with the US and the consequences
of war that threatens to be inconclusive and could become a broader
regional conflict.
An article posted on the Thomson Financial web site
indicated that the US and Turkey may be planning a combined military
operation against the PKK. As he flew to London on Monday, Erdogan
told reporters: We may conduct a joint operation with the
United States against the PKK in northern Iraq... We expect to
work jointly, just as we do in Afghanistan. Speaking of
his conversation with Rice the previous day, he added: She
was worried. I saw she was in favour of a joint operation. She
asked for a few days time and said she would come back to us.
The Iraqi Kurdish nationalist parties are obviously alarmed.
By slavishly supporting the US occupation of Iraq, the PUK and
KDP calculated that they would have American backing to establish
their own small political and business empire in northern Iraq
that would eventually include the oil-rich region around Kirkuk.
Having declared that it would resist any Turkish invasion, the
regional government is now under pressure from its American sponsors
to take action itself against the PKK. Its jealously guarded autonomy
is rapidly crumbling under the pressure of demands from Ankara
and Washington.
After discussions at the White House, Iraqi Deputy Prime Minister
Barham Saleh, a member of the PUK, told the Brookings Institute
on Monday: My worry is that there are demands of the KRG
and the Iraqi government to fight the PKK. That could
well be a recipe for an open-ended conflict in which we will not
win and will basically destabilise the only stable part of Iraq.
There is a long history of the sordid manoeuvres by various
Kurdish nationalist politicians with the major powers ending in
disaster for the Kurdish people. The present situation is no different.
The stable north of Iraq may well become the new battleground
for an open-ended conflict. Those immediately responsible
are the PUK and KDP leaders who tied the fate of Iraqi Kurds to
the Bush administration and its criminal occupation of Iraq.
See Also:
Conflict between Turkey and the US intensifies
[17 October 2007]
Turkish government gives green light
for military intervention in northern Iraq
[15 October 2007]
Bush condemns House vote on Armenian
genocide
[12 October 2007]
Washington's proxy war inside
Kurdish Iran
[20 September 2007]
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