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East : Turkey
Conflict between Turkey and the US intensifies
By Peter Schwarz
17 October 2007
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The conflict between Turkey and the US over the question of
military intervention by the Turkish military in northern Iraq
is intensifying.
On Monday the Turkish government approved and passed onto parliament
a motion empowering the army to carry out military actions in
neighboring Iraq. The Turkish parliament is due to vote on the
measure Wednesday. The passage of the motion is regarded as assured,
given the fact that the governing AKP (Party for Justice and Development)
commands a large parliamentary majority.
The motion gives the government and army broad powers to intervene
in neighboring Iraq during the period of one year. Prime Minister
Recep Tayyip Erdogan stressed that any planned Turkish operation
would be directed exclusively against the separatist Kurdish Workers
Party (PKK), which occupies bases in northern Iraq, but the motion
included no geographic specifications that would limit the Turkish
intervention.
It is well known that Ankara is determined to prevent the emergence
of an independent Kurdish state in northern Iraq and also any
annexation of the city of Kirkuk by the autonomous region of Kurdistanan
issue which is subject to a popular referendum at the end of the
year.
Kirkuk lies at the heart of the oil producing region in northern
Iraq and its revenues would provide a Kurdish state with a solid
financial basis. Large Turkmen and Assyrian minorities reside
in Kirkuk, along with the Kurds and Arabs. The Kurdish regional
government has systematically sought to extend Kurdish influence
in the city at the expense of these other ethnic groups.
Sources close to the Kurdish regional government have made
clear that there would be vigorous opposition to any attempt by
the Turkish army to invade the region and that Turkey must reckon
with heavy losses in the event of any incursion. The Iraqi government
in Baghdad is also emphatically hostile to a Turkish intervention
and sent its foreign minister to Ankara to plead its case.
Washington fears that any Turkish military incursion could
plunge the relatively calm north of Iraq into chaos and open up
a new front between two traditional allies of the USNATO
member Turkey and the Iraqi Kurds.
American State Secretary Condoleezza Rice therefore requested
the Turkish government to refrain from a military intervention.
Rice told journalists in Moscow on Saturday that she telephoned
the Turkish president, prime minister and foreign minister to
make clear that, We all are interested in a stable Iraq
and anything that destabilizes [that] will harm both our interests.
Her appeal was not successful. The motion adopted by the Turkish
government does not contain a time-frame for a possible military
intervention and a government spokesman was more conciliatory,
declaring: We hope we do not have to make use of it.
But there is no mistaking the saber-rattling in Ankara.
Prime Minister Erdogan warned, Our patience is at an
end, and continued, If terrorism is based in a neighbouring
country and if that country does very little about it, then it
falls upon us to act. When asked about possible international
reactions he answered: If we take this path we have already
calculated the costs. We will pay the bill.
He denied the US had any right to lecture him over Iraq. Nobody
asked our authorization before launching an attack on Iraq from
tens of thousands of kilometres away, and added that his
country had no need of advice from anyone on the subject
of an operation against Iraq.
Already last weekend Turkish troops fired more than 250 artillery
shells and at least 10 missiles into Iraqi territory and, according
to military experts, an invasion of Iraq must take place soon
for any chance of success before the start of winter in the rugged
mountains of the northern part of the country.
Tensions between Ankara and Washington have also been exacerbated
by the resolution passed by the US House Foreign Affairs Committee,
which refers to the mass murder of Armenians in 1915 as genocide.
This touches on a fundamental pillar of Turkish state policy.
In an interview with the newspaper Milliyet, the commander
of the Turkish armed forces, General Yasar Büyükanit,
warned that military relations with the US would never be
the same if the resolution were to pass the Senate.
Ankara has even threatened to close the US airbase at Incirlik
if the resolution is approved. A large proportion of American
supplies for its war against Iraq pass through this base.
Historical questions
Enormous geopolitical issues lie at the heart of the controversy
about action against the PKK and the definition of the murderous
Turkish military operations in 1915. The overthrow of the Hussein
regime in Baghdad and the shattering of Iraq by the American occupation
have thoroughly disrupted the unstable equilibrium established
by the major colonial powers after the First World War on the
ruins of the Ottoman Empire.
Following World War I, the victorious powers drew artificial
borders in the desert sand, playing off one ethnic community against
another and placing corrupt, crony dynasties in power to secure
their colonial rule. These borders and institutions remained largely
intact after formal national independence was achieved
in the aftermath of the Second World War.
In line with the wishes of the Great Powers, hardly anything
was to remain of Turkish influence within the borders of the former
Ottoman Empire. The Treaty of Sèvres in 1920 envisaged
Kurdish and Armenian states, as well as the transfer of large
areas of todays Turkey to Greece. Military officers led
by Mustafa Kemal Atatürk, rebelled against the treaty and
conducted a three-year war, which eventually led to the annulling
of the pact in Lausanne in 1923.
This was the origin of modern Turkey, which elevated nationalism
to the status of a state cult. Any discussion of the bloody pogrom
against the Armenians, which preceded modern Turkeys emergence,
was banned and regarded as a mortal danger to the mythology surrounding
the emergence of the nation-stateas was any attempt at recognizing
the rights of national minorities such as the Kurds.
During the Cold War Turkey swam in the wake of the US and played
an important strategic role on the east flank of NATO. The Turkish
ruling elite defended its power by a series of military putsches
and was always able to rely on the backing of the US.
The international situation changed profoundly with the collapse
of the Soviet Union and the onset of the Iraq war. Its alliance
with America no longer serves as a reliable guarantee of protection
for the Turkish bourgeoisie. The US has been transformed from
a factor of stability into the principle source of instability.
The old historical contradictions are emerging anew and the borders
drawn up in Sèvres and Lausanne are once again called into
question.
Turkey is adopting an increasing aggressive foreign policy.
In the 1990s it tried to advance its interests in central Asia
and the Turkish-occupied areas of the former Soviet Unionwith
little success. Under the AKP regime the Turkish ruling elite
has renewed its efforts to establish links with the European Unionand
has once again been rebuffed. Now it is seeking to increase its
influence in the Middle Easta region, which was once part
of the Ottoman Empire. In so doing Turkey is taking less and less
notice of US desires.
It is noteworthy that in the midst of the controversy over
possible military action by Turkey in northern Iraq, the Syrian
head of state, Bashar al-Assad, was due to fly into Ankara for
talks about the situation in Iraq and the conflict in the Middle
East. Although Syria is on the list of US terror states,
Ankara has improved its ties with Damascus in recent years. Like
Turkey, Syria is also strongly opposed to a Kurdish state in northern
Iraq, fearing the consequences for the Kurdish minority in its
own country.
For a period it appeared that the change of direction in Turkish
foreign policy would be accompanied by a liberalization of relations
inside the country itself. The AKP made some largely symbolic
concessions to the Kurds and out-maneuvered some of the most right-wing
elements within the state apparatus. But that situation has changed
with the decision to pursue military intervention in Iraq.
Kurdish refugees in Iraq will not be the only ones to suffer,
so will Kurds living in Turkey. At the same time the position
of the generals and right-wing nationalists within Turkey is being
strengthened. The governments green light to the military
for an invasion of Iraq has played into the hands of this right-wing.
The bloodbath in Iraq, which has already cost hundred of thousands
of lives, now threatens to engulf the entire region.
On the same day that the Syrian president was due to visit
Ankara, Russian President Vladimir Putin arrived in Teheran. It
was the first visit by the head of state of a world power in Iran
since the revolution of 1979. Putin participated in a conference
of states neighboring the Caspian Sea, to discuss distribution
of the enormous reserves of gas and oil under that body of water.
Here there are major differences between Russia, Azerbaijan
and Kazakhstan, on the one side, and Iran and Turkmenistan, on
the other. Europe and the US also have a burning interest in the
fate of the energy reserves in and around the Caspian.
See Also:
Turkish government gives green light
for military intervention in northern Iraq
[15 October 2007]
Bush condemns House vote on Armenian
genocide
[12 October 2007]
Washington discusses plans
for covert action against Kurdish PKK in Iraq
[6 August 2007]
Turkish military flexes its
muscles in northern Iraq
[7 June 2007]
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