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Congressional hearings set stage for wider warinside
and outside of Iraq
By Bill Van Auken in Washington, DC
10 April 2008
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As the mass medias attention remained focused Wednesday
on the rerun of testimony by Gen. David Petraeus and Ambassador
Ryan Crockerthis time before two House committeesa
sparsely attended hearing on the Senate side heard a key architect
of the year-old surge in Iraq tell Democrats that
there ultimately isnt much difference between their position
and that of the administration.
Testifying before the House Armed Services Committees, the
senior US commander in Iraq and Washingtons ambassador in
Baghdad repeated the assertions that they made before the corresponding
panels in the Senate day before. The surge that sent some 30,000
additional combat troops into Iraq over the last year is working.
It has brought significant security gains, but this supposed progress
is fragile and reversible.
Petraeus repeated his insistence that it was impossible to
determine when US troop levels can reduced below the 140,000 level
that will be reached in July because such decisions must be based
on conditions on the ground.
Likewise, he repeated his formulation that the issue of when
to withdraw American occupation troops was not a matter of simple
arithmetic but rather one of military geometry
and political-diplomatic calculus. The clear implication
was that such matters are far too complex to be decided by the
US Congress or the democratic will of the American people.

For their part, House Democrats advanced no serious challenge
to the positions put forward by Bushs handpicked general
and ambassador. With relatively few exceptions, they made it clear
that they are not calling for an immediate or complete withdrawal
of American forces from Iraq. Rather, what they advocate is a
transition to a different mission that
would leave tens of thousands of troops behind to carry out counterinsurgency
operations, train Iraqi security forces and protect US interests
in the oil-rich country.
Leading the questioning Wednesday morning, House Armed Services
Committee Congressman Ike Skelton (Democrat, Missouri), predicated
his call for reducing the number of US troops in Iraqnot
their complete withdrawalon both the imminent threat of
a new terrorist attack on the US and the likelihood of new wars
abroad. The tying down of so much of the American military in
Iraq hindered adequate preparations on both fronts, he contended.
Protecting this nation from direct attack is job one.
Yet our allocation of forces does not match this imperative,
said Skelton. Iraq is also preventing us from effectively
preparing for the next conflict.
In the afternoon session before the foreign affairs panel,
Congresswoman Lynn Woolsey, a leader of the Out of Iraq
Caucus, had read into the record a letter to President Bush
signed by 92 House members affirming that they would only vote
for new Iraq war appropriations if they were dedicated to redeploying
US troops out of Iraq. The ineffectuality of this protest gesture
was made painfully clear when Woolsey asked Petraeus how much
needed to be appropriated and how long it would take to remove
US troops from the country. The general responded that the matter
was not one suited to mere arithmetic.
On the other side of Capitol Hill, Gen. Jack Keane, the former
Vice Chief of Staff of the Army, who was one of the architects
of the surge strategy, provided an unvarnished version of the
perspective being outlined by Petraeus and Crocker. Though he
remains a key advisor to the White House and the Pentagon on the
occupation, Keane is retired from the military, and therefore,
as he told the Senate Armed Service Committee, does not have the
same accountability as the general and the ambassador.
Keane claimed that the surge represented one of the most
stunning achievements in the annals of counter-insurgency practice,
managing in a matter of months to suppress one
of the most formidable insurgencies the West has ever faced.
He was backed by the panels senior Republican, Senator
John McCain, the presumptive presidential nominee of the Republican
Party, who has based his campaign on his identification with the
policy drafted by Keane. We can hold onto the progress we
have seen, McCain said in his opening statement, or
we can choose to set a deadline for withdrawal, leading to our
failure there and leading to the terrible consequences I believe
will ensue.
In his testimony before both House and Senate panels, Petraeus
did not rule out a continued drawdown of American troops later
this year, after a 45-day pause beginning in July
following the withdrawal of four combat brigades that were deployed
in the surge and a subsequent period of evaluation of the conditions
on the ground.
Keane, however, categorically ruled out any possibility of
such a continued reduction in occupation forces in 2008. He made
it clear that the coming months will see a bloody escalation of
attacks by US forces on the Iraqi resistance throughout the country.
We will finish off Al Qaeda this year in the north,
he said. In the south, we will still have to deal with the
Shia militias. That will also happen this year.
Keane suggested that a US-led offensive in Basra will be initiated
later in the spring, resuming where the abortive attacks carried
out by Iraqi security forcesbacked by US firepowerleft
off at the end of last month. Our commanders were working
on a campaign for the south before the recent fighting,
he said.
He also stressed that there would be no further reduction in
US troop levels before Iraqi provincial elections, now set for
October.
Keane was also even more explicit than Petraeus and Crocker
in identifying Iran as the principal enemy that Washington perceives
today in Iraq.
The remaining major security challenge in Iraq is in
the south where we must counter Iranian influence, he said.
The Iranians have a comprehensive political, economic, diplomatic
and military strategy to accomplish two objectives: 1) cause the
US to fail in Iraq and withdraw prematurely; and 2) to support
a stable but weak government of Iraq which is aligned with Iran
as a result of their foothold and leverage in the south of Iraq.
He continued: It is critical to succeed. It is in the
US national interests to defeat Iran in Iraq. To do so, we need
a US national and regional strategy to defeat Iran in Iraq.
The retired generals rhetoric strongly suggested that
the US military operations in Iraq are increasingly being viewed
as the antechamber of a new and even bloodier war against Iran
itself.
There was another notable element in Keanes testimony,
what might be termed the stab-in-the-back thesisthat the
American military could lose in Iraq only if it is betrayed by
the politicians. It was a theme quickly seconded by Senators McCain
and Joseph Lieberman, the Independent Democratalso
a prominent supporter of the surge.
Keane noted pointedly that he had begun his military career
37 years ago as an Army platoon and then company commander in
the Vietnam War and cited the psychological and emotional
impact on Americas professional officer corps of the
US defeat.
He asserted that those in the US military today do not
want to be a party to choosing defeat, or to be a part of an Army
or Marine Corps that suffers a humiliating defeat.
While attesting to what he claimed was the troops dogged
determination to succeed, Keane warned, we can lose
politically, because we lose our will here at home, lose our determination
to work through difficulty and uncertainty. He called upon
the legislators to find the will, and yes the courage, our
soldiers display routinely and to support the judgments
of our gifted commander and ambassador.
The retired general ended on a conciliatory note, however.
He insisted that the policy of continued support for the administrations
policy and the Democrats call for a timetable would, in
the end, have the same essential result of a more limited US presence
in Iraq.
Im not sure that the positions are all that different,
he said, except for the crowd that wants an immediate and
precipitous withdrawal.
Speaking earlier, the committees Democratic chairman,
Senator Carl Levin of Michigan had already disassociated himself
and his party from this crowd, stressing that they
did not want a precipitous withdrawal from Iraq.
Testifying on the same panel as Keane were two critics of the
Bush administrations Iraq war policy: Dr. Andrew Bacevich,
a Boston University professor and retired Army officer, who has
written widely on US military and foreign policy, and Dr. Robert
Malley, the Middle East and North Africa Program director at the
International Crisis Group. Malley is also a former member of
the US National Security Council.
While both urged the substitution of diplomatic for military
efforts in Iraq, Bacevich was by far the more acerbic in his assessment
of US policy and real situation that currently exists in the occupied
country.
He noted that, despite the supposed success of the surge, attacks
on US and Iraqi security forces are continuing at the rate of
500 a week, with little prospect that they will be significantly
reduced.
As for the claims that Washington and the Maliki government
have succeeded in quelling resistance and bringing about reconciliation,
he pointed out: The Shiite militias, Sunni insurgents and
tribal leaders who have agreed to refrain from violence in return
for arms, money and other concessions have by no means bought
into the American vision for the future of Iraq. Their interests
do not coincide with our own and we should not delude ourselves
by pretending otherwise.
While the war continues to cost approximately $3 billion a
week and the lives of 30 to 40 US troops a month, Bacevich insisted
that it was already lost from the standpoint of the Bush administrations
original stated objectives.
The Iraq intervention, he said, was supposed to demonstrate
the viability of its Freedom Agenda and to affirm the efficacy
of the Bush Doctrine of preventive war.
While the White House had claimed that regime change in Iraq
would provide an example for the democratization of the entire
Middle East, the war, he said, has produced a failed state
while fostering widespread antipathy towards the United States.
Moreover, the Iraqi quagmire has revealed the limits of
American power and called into question American competence.
The former military officer, whose son was killed while serving
in Iraq, spoke forcefully about the impact of the occupation on
the military. Continuing on our present course in which
soldiers head back to Iraq for their third and fourth combat tours
while the rest of the country heads to the mall will break the
army before it produces a policy success, he said. Worse,
our present coursein which a few give their all while most
give nothingis morally indefensible.
Bacevich warned that, given the continuation of the administrations
policy, a large-scale US military presence might be required
for two or three decades.
See Also:
General Petraeus gives Senate a blueprint
for an unending occupation of Iraq
[9 April 2008]
Iraq war vet: Weve heard enough
from the generals and the politicians
[9 April 2008]
On eve of Petraeus testimony, US launches
raids on Baghdads Sadr City
[8 April 2008]
US Congressional hearings on Iraq foreshadow
aggressive stance against Iran
[7 April 2008]
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