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US: Cities, education funds, transport authorities hit by
credit crisis
By Andre Damon
19 February 2008
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The deepening credit crisis is hitting US cities as well as
quasi-governmental state education and transportation authorities,
sharply increasing the interest they must pay on their long-term
debt and jeopardizing their ability to finance daily operations.
Many such entities borrow money on a long-term basis, but at
interest rates that are set at regular, often weekly, credit auctions.
Last week the market for these so-called auction-rate securities
collapsed. Nearly 1,000 auctions failed due to a lack of investors
willing to buy the debt.
As a result, the state of Michigan suspended a major student
loan program and the Port Authority of New York and New Jersey
saw the interest rate it pays jump from 4.3 percent to 20 percent.
Weekly interest payments on the Port Authoritys $100 million
in auction-rate securities will soar to $389,000 from $83,000.
New Yorks Metropolitan Museum of Art is now paying 15
percent on auction securities. Other recent victims of the market
collapse include universities such as Georgetown in Washington
DC, student loan providers such as the College Loan Corporation,
municipalities such as Washington DC, and cultural institutions
such as the de Young Museum in San Francisco.
The municipal liquidity crisis compounds broader problems facing
US cities and states as the US slides into recession. The bursting
of the housing bubble has already begun to sap local tax revenues,
and a recession will further reduce taxable income while placing
greater demands on state and local social programs.
The failure of the auction-rate securities market is itself
part of a more general worsening of the US and global credit crisis.
Last week, Moodys Investor Services downgraded the debt
of the third-largest US bond insurance company, Financial Guaranty
Insurance Company (FGIC), from AAA to A3, a drop of six levels,
with a warning that it could be reduced to the lowest investment
grade level of Baa. FGIC thus became the first major bond insurer
to be downgraded by all three major ratings firms.
The two largest bond insurers, MBIA and Ambac, have also been
threatened with credit downgrades. If a bond insurer is downgraded,
then all of the bonds it insuresmost of which are held by
banks, hedge funds and other financial institutionsmust
also be downgraded, leading to a new wave of losses by Wall Street
firms.
The bond insurance companies insure some $2.4 trillion in debt
against the risk of default. These companies originally limited
themselves to insuring low-risk municipal debt, but during the
latter years of the housing bubble, they increasingly got into
the business of covering mortgage-backed securities and other
complex debt instruments.
Under pressure from New York State, FGIC announced plans to
spin off its operations dealing with municipal bonds into a new
firm, which would likely retain a triple-A credit rating. However,
this would leave the original firm with its liabilities related
to failing mortgage-backed securities while stripping it of its
business in more solvent municipal-related debt. As a result,
the banks which were insured by FGIC would be forced to write
off more bad investments.
Long-term interest rates continue to inch up amid growing inflationary
expectations. Consumer prices grew by 4.1 percent in 2007, up
from 2.5 percent in 2006. And according to figures released Friday,
import prices rose 1.7 percent in January and 13.7 percent compared
to January 2006, in the highest monthly increase since the Labor
Department began keeping track in 1982.
The rise in long-term interest rates, which are linked to mortgage
lending rates, bodes ill for homeowners ability to refinance,
and the increase in consumer prices is significantly cutting into
consumer spending. Both of these developments are likely to contribute
to a growth slowdown.
Meanwhile, US consumer confidence has fallen to a 16-year low,
according to a recent survey by Reuters and the University of
Michigan. The survey indicates that 82 percent of Americans believe
that the US is in a recession now. This is the highest reported
proportion since 1982, during the worst recession of the post-war
period.
Past declines of this magnitude have always been associated
with subsequent recessions, said Richard Curtin, who directed
the survey.
A separate report issued Friday showed that manufacturing activity
in the state of New York dropped for the fourth month in a row
to the lowest level since 2003. The National Association of Realtors
also announced last week that median single-family home prices
dropped by 5.8 percent in the fourth quarter of 2007 over the
year before, in what may be the steepest fall in home prices since
the Great Depression.
See Also:
Bush administration, banks announce another
token measure on home foreclosures
[14 February 2008]
Slumping sales signal US recession; slowdown
spreads to Europe
[8 February 2008]
US recession fears provoke
continued market turmoil
[24 January 2008]
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