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Russias presidential candidate D. Medvedev and the Kremlins
national projects
By Vladimir Volkov
5 January 2008
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The political maneuvers carried out last month to promote Dmitrii
Medvedev, the vice-premier of the Russian government, as President
Vladimir Putins successor were accompanied by
a propaganda campaign portraying the focus of the new presidents
rule as an effort to improve the social conditions of the countrys
citizens.
In announcing D. Medvedevs candidacy for president on
December 10, Boris Gryzlov, speaker of the State Duma and the
leader of the United Russia party, which was victorious
in the December 2 parliamentary elections, stated that Medvedev
is a socially-oriented candidate because he oversees the Kremlins
national projects.
At the December 17 United Russia congress that approved his
nomination, D. Medvedev formulated his strategy of continuity
in the following way: It is the dynamic development of the
economy and rise of the Russian village, the discovery of new
possibilities for the growth of small and medium business, it
is raising the welfare of our citizens, strengthening the social
sphere and conducting effective demographic policy. For the preservation
of the Russian nation, concern for veterans and the new generationsall
this is a pledge for Russias successful future, for our
national perspectives.
The theme of concern for simple citizens was continued
at a December 19 session of the State Duma. In the words of President
Putin, The main thing is that we have begun to resolve the
most complex social problems that have accumulated for decades
and which citizens confront in their daily life.
D. Medvedevs speech echoed this theme. Investments
in the social sphere have brought substantial returns to the economy
as a whole, he declared. And it seems reasonable to
me to continue these investments.
Conceived as investments in people, Medvedev continued,
the national projects have proved to be an outstanding stimulus
for developing various sectors of the Russian economy, and thus
have a multiplying factor. For instance, investments
in health have revived the production of modern medical technology.
The national education project has stimulated the development
of the automobile industry, which supplies school buses. Resources
directed at agriculture have simulated the banking sector, especially
in the countryside.
It is obvious that the theme of social orientation
will stand at the center of the Kremlins and the medias
efforts to promote Medvedev. According to the transfer of
power scenario worked out in the Kremlin, the new presidents
ascension is to be justified not by war, as in Putins casebut
rather by the urge to do good things for the simple
citizens.
From this standpoint it is worth examining the real content
of the so-called national projects, and the material results of
their implementation.
Potemkin Villages
The national projects were launched at the end of 2005, in
large part as a reaction to the wave of mass protests (the most
powerful during the entire post-Soviet period) against the monetization
of benefitsa packet of anti-social measures that came into
effect in January of that year.
The monetization of benefits destroyed one of the chief remaining
elements of the Soviet social system: the proposition that the
most vulnerable layers of the population should be guaranteed
minimal access to social benefits such as medical care and drugs,
regardless of the current market value of such services.
This universal principle of guaranteed access (at least on
paper) was replaced by the principle of selective
support of a limited number of recipients based upon the market
price for these services at the time the reform was passed. As
a result, the level of state obligations to the general population,
expressed in monetary form, fell by a factor of no less than fifteen.
The national projectsthe basic components of which are
education, healthcare, housing construction and agriculturewere
ostensibly designed to soften the destructive impact of the monetization
of benefits. Enormous resources were devoted to the national projects.
According to Dmitrii Medvedevs recent statement, in a two-year
period, about 400 billion rubles were spent on their realization
(about $16.3 billion), and in 2008, about 300 billion rubles ($12.2
billion) will be assigned to them.
Where has this money gone, and where is it going?
Primarily it is being spent either on the plugging of extremely
neglected social holeswhich does not alter the
overall social pictureor on the support of private businesses
which are engaged in serving the social sphere and which receive
significant profits from participating in the national projects.
At a December 25 session of the presidium of the Council on
High-Priority National Projects, which was chaired by D. Medvedev,
the minister of education, Andrei Fursenko, declared that his
main achievement was that all schools in the country (more than
50 thousand) had been connected to the Internet. He added that
in some places the pay of teachers exceeded by 20-to-25
percent the prevailing average wage. In doing so, however, he
did not name a single concrete regionin order to avoid raising
any inconvenient questions. Instead, he said he was talking about
regions that had proposed complex programs of modernizing
education in their schools. These regions, he added, had
received money in order to stimulate the most outstanding
teachers. That is, the better you work, the more you will make.
What this amounts to is a pilot program for the reactionary
scheme of merit pay, hardly an impressive result.
Despite Fursenkos claim that the teaching profession
had become prestigious not only from a moral, but also a material
standpoint, the reality is that the absolute majority of
Russian schools are plagued by enormously outmoded facilities,
buildings that are in a state of disrepair and extremely low pay
for teachers. The typical Russian school is sustained by the heroic
enthusiasm of its staff and a system of voluntary-forced
contributions by parents, thanks to whom the education process
is kept afloat.
One would be fully justified in saying that Russian schools
continue to exist not thanks to, but in spite of, government policy.
When it comes to housing construction, the authorities report
increased investment in the construction of new living space.
In the course of the December 25 session on national projects,
the head of the Ministry of Regional Development, Dmitrii Kozak,
announced that 2007 would record more than 60 million square meters
of new construction, which is almost 4 million square meters more
than had been planned. However, as the government itself acknowledges,
this tempo is absolutely insufficient to meet demand, which would
require building more than 140 million square meters each year.
But the main issue is the absolute shortage of living space resulting
from astronomical real estate prices.
As the national projects have been carried out, apartment prices
have doubled. The average cost per square meter in all the major
cities has reached 70 thousand rubles, at a time when the average
wage is about 14 thousand rubles per month. In other words, in
order to obtain even a modest apartment, one must set aside ones
entire wages for 10-to-12 years.
According to data from the Agency for Mortgage Credit,
4.5 million families need better housing conditions. But only
one out of twenty of them can scrape together enough money for
even the most modest apartment.
Half the population has no means for either buying or
renting a place to live, confirmed the deputy of the State
Duma, Galina Khovanskaya.
Moreover, experts have called attention to the enormous gap
between the cost of building a square meter and its market price.
Recently, the Russian construction corporation, RGI International,
showed up at the London stock exchange and was compelled to open
its financial records. What emerged was that the cost of building
a square meter in an luxury apartment building in the center of
Moscow fluctuated between 30 and 75 thousand rubles, at a time
when the sale of the same square meter fetched 700 thousand rubles
or more.
According to specialists, more than a third of new apartments
in Moscow and other large Russian cities are acquired by so-called
investors/speculatorswho count on selling them later at
a higher price. This housing is frozen and remains
in such a state for a long time.
The real effectiveness of the Obtainable Housing
national project was illustrated by an article published December
13 in the New Gazette. The paper reports that within the
framework of a given area in June 2007, 22 projects were
chosen, the infrastructure of which will be created with the support
of the federal budget, as well as the participation of state companies
such as Gazprom and RAO EES. Such construction
projects include Rublevo-Arkhangelskoe, better known
as the city of millionaires (being built by Suleiman
Kerimovs company Rublevo-Arkhangelskoe), Konnaya
lakhta and Northern Valley (Oleg Deripaskas
Glavstroi) and a number of other projects, in which
the minimal value of the real estate involved exceeds one million
dollars. How does all this fit in with the ideology of the Obtainable
Housing national project? In other words, who will be able
to obtain such housing?
Matters are no better with the national projects for medicine
and support of agriculture. The main achievement touted by Tatiana
Golikova, the recently appointed head of the Ministry of Health
and Social development, in her report was that 70 percent of the
first aid ambulances have been upgraded. As a result,
the response time for physicians answering emergency calls has
decreased from 35 to 25 minutes. The mortality coefficient,
she declared, has fallen by 9 percent, and the birth rate
has risen by 11 percent.
Even the newspaper Izvestia, which is completely loyal
to the regime, felt compelled to accompany this information with
the following comment: People have begun to be examined
regularly... Only car accidents spoil the picture: people in the
majority of cases simply dont make it to the hospital on
timeit takes too long to get there. The struggle against
this sad statistic will begin next year.
When it comes to agriculture, after high-flown words about
how the moral collapse of the countryside has been overcome,
Minister Aleksei Gordeyev admitted that the average wage in rural
areas amounts to no more than 6,000 rubles, that is, about 2.5
times less than the average wage in industry.
On the whole, the national projects have become long-standing
propaganda exercises of the Kremlin, where the main thing is not
real results, but the possibility of trumpeting alleged improvements
on all the stations of the mass media. These are, in the full
sense of the word, Potemkin villages, based on which
it is absolutely impossible to judge the real situation in the
country.
The spread of corruption
At the same time, the national projects have turned into an
enormously corrupting feeding-trough, which is enriching those
commercial organizations and state structures that engage in the
assimilation of the money doled out in these programs.
The December 26 Independent Gazette cautiously reported
that the implementation of the national projects has been
assessed in a variety of ways so far by independent specialists
and by the population, and that the effectiveness
of distributing this money might even have provoked contradictory
assessments among observers. The newspaper Kommersant
announced in a similar manner on December 11 that it has
become accepted to doubt the real control of the economy entrusted
to Dmitrii Medvedev.
The real issue is the widespread embezzling of resources appropriated
for the realization of the national projects, where it is suspected
that the scale of kickbacksbased on the general
Russian practice reaches 30 percent of the sums expended.
One of the scandals occurred in the Sverdlov area. The city
administration obtained two computer tomography scanners (according
to other sourcesfour) made by Siemens for city hospital
No. 36. They paid about 80 million rubles each, at a time when
CAT scanners actually cost a bit more than 40 million rubles.
The deal was formulated by the deputy boss of the citys
health administration, Aleksandr Shastin, and a representative
for Siemens in the region, Lev Dubnov. They were both arrested
in November and charged with squandering state resources.
What is noteworthy in this story is that the city health officials
paid the company with resources received from the national health
project.
One can only speculate as to how many such cases remain hidden
from public scrutiny, given the Kremlins tight control over
not only federal, but also regional mass media.
A number of other examples demonstrate rather clearly the real
results of state expenditures on the national projects.
The Independent Gazette announced on December 25 that
38 million Russian citizens who live in rural areas are without
medicine, because the system of supplying Russian villages with
pharmaceutical drugs has completely broken down.
Until now, medicines in rural areas have been sold through
first-aid stations and midwife practices. However, according to
recently introduced laws, the wholesale trade in medicine is subject
to mandatory licensing. The cost of obtaining these licenses has
made the sale of medicines in these areas commercially unprofitable.
As a result, the Gazette writes, The old system of
supplying medicines has been successfully broken, and the creation
of a new one to replace it has not occurred.
Another example has been given by the first premier, Sergei
Ivanov, who before Medvedev was tapped had himself been considered
the main candidate to become Putins successor.
He announced that Russian television has begun to run ads for
products using the word nano; for example, an anti-corrosive
material called Nanozinc and a cosmetic product called
Nanocream. As S. Ivanov declared, I sincerely
doubt that there is any technology there, in general.
The problem is that not long ago a state corporation was formed
called RosNanoTech, and significant money was allotted
to it from the budget130 million rubles. The assimilation
of these resources will begin next year, but as yet in Russia
there is no system for licensing such high-technology products.
What will be done with these state-generated funds is far from
clear. But there is ample reason to suspect that a large portion
will find its way into the coffers of private entities that are
able to find an approach to those bureaucrats who
will be making decisions about the finances of this new corporation.
S. Ivanov condemned the nano-swindlers, however,
as the Gazette acknowledged on December 18, for now it
looks more likely that they will begin to hand out the nano-money
rather carelessly.
Such is the general socio-political framework, within which
the efforts are being made to promote Dmitrii Medvedev as a slightly
more human face for a deeply rooted system of corruption
and thievery. D. Medvedev truly looks like a genuine successor
of the system created by Yeltsin and perfected by
Putin. He not only has no intention of changing it, but, on the
contrary, will defend it with every means at his disposal.
See Also:
Russia-Belarus talks
signal renewed cooperation against US
[27 December 2007]
President Putin names
his putative successor
[18 December 2007]
The parliamentary
elections and the crisis of the authoritarian regime in Russia
[1 December 2007]
Strike at Russian
Ford planta sign of renewed struggle by Russian workers
[20 November 2007]
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