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Decision on Michigan, Florida delegates
Democratic Party establishment lines up behind Obama
By Patrick Martin
2 June 2008
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A panel of Democratic Party leaders came down on the side of
Barack Obama, the frontrunner for partys presidential nomination,
in a battle with supporters of Hillary Clinton over how to seat
delegates to the presidential nominating convention from two contested
states.
The Rules and Bylaws Committee of the Democratic National Committee
voted to seat full delegations from Michigan and Florida, but
to give each delegate only half a vote rather than a full vote,
the penalty imposed because the two state parties violated national
party rules by scheduling their primaries too early.
The agreement to seat the Michigan and Florida delegations
with half-votes means that 4,235 delegate-votes will be cast at
the Democratic convention, raising the total required for a majority
from 2,026 to 2,118. After the allocation of the two states delegates,
Obama had 2,057 to Clintons 1877, leaving him only 61 delegates
short of the nomination.
While Clinton won Sundays primary in Puerto Rico easily,
taking two-thirds of the vote in an extremely low turnout, Obama
picked up at least 14 more delegates there, out of a total of
55. He is expected to win a narrow majority of the 31 delegates
to be selected Tuesday in South Dakota and Montana, and enough
votes from as-yet-uncommitted superdelegates to claim the nomination
by Wednesday.
Clintons principal spokesman on the rules committee,
campaign adviser Harold Ickes, denounced the Michigan decision
bitterly and declared that Clinton reserved the right to challenge
the action at the national convention in Denver.
However, Howard Wolfson, a top Clinton advisor, suggested to
the New York Times that the campaign has no stomach for
taking the fight to Denver. Our focus is on securing the
nomination for ourselves in the near term, he said. I
dont think anybody is looking toward the convention to end
this process.
The Democratic Party establishment by-and-large rallied to
Obama. After the committee meeting, a parade of top Democrats
announced their support for its decisions, including DNC chairman
Howard Dean and House Speaker Nancy Pelosi. Pelosi suggested that
Obama would likely clinch the nomination June 3.
There was an enormous degree of political posturing over the
rules committee hearing. All of the Democratic presidential candidates
had supported the national party in the dispute and agreed not
to campaign in either state. Clinton declared last fall that any
votes cast in either state primary would not count,
but she reversed herself after falling behind Obama in the race
for delegates in February.
Clinton had won both states, taking 50 percent of the vote
in Florida compared to 33 percent for Obama and 16 percent for
John Edwards, who was still in the race at the time of January
29 primary. She won 55 percent of the January 15 vote in Michigan,
while 40 percent voted for an unpledged slate, the only alternative
available for Obama or Edwards supporters since both candidates
had taken their names off the ballot.
Under rules approved by the Democratic National Committee last
year, the two state parties were to be penalized by the loss of
all their delegates to the convention, 300 pledged and 67 unpledged,
for a total of 367. Each state party appealed and the Rules and
Bylaws Committee heard arguments on Saturday and then made its
decision.
In each case, the state party organizations proposed a penalty
of the loss of half their votesthe same penalty imposed
by the Republican National Committee on its Michigan and Florida
delegationsrather than a reduction to zero. The Obama campaign
backed this approach, since it cut Clintons delegate margin
in the two states by half.
Clinton supporters initially sought to seat the Florida delegates
with full votes, eliminating any penalty, but this was defeated
by a 15-12 vote on the Rules and Bylaws Committee. This was followed
by a unanimous 27-0 vote to seat Florida with half votes, with
the delegates divided among Clinton, Obama and Edwards according
to the primary results.
The case of Michigan produced protracted wrangling over how
to divide up the states 128 pledged delegates (who will
cast 64 total votes), because Obamas name was not on the
ballot. There were three different plans.
The Clinton campaign demanded 73 delegates based on its share
of the popular vote, with the remaining 55 delegates unpledged
rather than awarded to Obama. The Obama campaign proposed an even
split of the delegation, 64 for each campaign, essentially arguing
that the primary was invalid. The Michigan state partywhere
Clintons supporters outnumbered Obamasproposed
a compromise between the two, with 69 delegates for Clinton and
59 for Obama. This was the plan adopted, by a 19-8 vote of the
rules committee.
Since 13 of the members of the rules committee are publicly
committed to support Clinton for the nomination, this result was
a debacle for her campaign. At least five of her own supporters
refused to back her position on Michigan. According to several
members of the rules committee, Obama supporters on the committee
actually had a narrow majority for their plan to split the Michigan
delegation 50-50, but decided to make an overture to the Michigan
state party by accepting its plan instead.
The decisiveness of Clintons defeat is indicated in the
following figures: Clintons initial demand, for full votes
for both states and denying the uncommitted Michigan vote to Obama,
would have given her a net gain of 111 delegates. Obamas
initial position, half votes for both states, and a 50-50 split
in Michigan, would have left Clinton a net gain of 19 delegates.
The actual result hewed very closely to the Obama position, giving
Clinton a net gain of only 24 delegates, far too little to change
the outcome of the race.
The prominent Democrats on the rules committee who sided with
Obama Saturday included former national chairman Don Fowler of
South Carolina, a Clinton supporter; former Secretary of Labor
Alexis Herman (in the Bill Clinton administration), who chaired
the committee; James Roosevelt, grandson of President Franklin
Roosevelt, the committee co-chair; and Donna Brazile, the campaign
manager for Al Gore in 2000. The last three are still formally
uncommitted.
The usually obscure rules panel met under conditions of unprecedented
media attention, largely because of the spurious and demagogic
effort by the Clinton campaign to suggest that enforcing party
rules to which she herself had agreed was the equivalent of the
Republican Partys theft of the 2000 presidential election
in Florida.
In a series of campaign appearances in Florida leading up to
the rules committee hearing, Clinton outlandishly compared her
demand for delegates to the civil rights movement, the nineteenth
century struggle for the abolition of slavery, and the current
political crisis over the presidential election in Zimbabwe.
The only similarity between the 2008 primary dispute and the
2000 presidential vote is the geographic accident that Florida
is involved in both casesa fact that was flogged endlessly
by the same Democratic politicians who capitulated spinelessly
to the electoral coup by the Supreme Court and the Republican
Party in 2000.
Moreover, Clinton was using the every vote counts
mantra to justify a primary election in Michigan in which Democratic
voters had no alternatives because her main rivals were not even
listed on the ballot.
There were no issues of democratic principle involved in this
internecine conflict, which simply confirms Clintons defeat
and the coalescing of the Democratic Party apparatus behind the
Obama campaign.
See Also:
The politics of provocation:
Clinton, Obama and the American media
[28 May 2008]
Obama gains majority of elected
Democratic Party delegates
[22 May 2008]
Calling Pelosi's bluff, Republicans
temporarily block war-funding bill
[17 May 2008]
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