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In the wake of the Bear Stearns collapse
US Federal Reserve cuts interest rates again
By Alex Lantier
19 March 2008
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In a further move aimed at easing the credit crisis and propping
up US banks, the Federal Reserve Board on Tuesday cut the federal
funds rate, the key short-term interest rate, from 3 percent to
2.25 percent.
This is the Federal Reserves sixth rate cut since September
of last year, slashing a full 3 percent from the target rate for
short-term inter-bank loans. The Fed also cut the discount rate,
the rate it charges banks for direct loans, from 3.25 percent
to 2.5 percent.
Interest rate futures markets and many financial commentators
had indicated they were expecting cuts of 1 percent in both the
federal funds and discount rates. However, after a brief 150-point
plunge following the Feds announcement, the stock market
rallied sharply, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average closing
at 12,391.52, up 419.27 points, or 3.5 per cent, for the day.
The Feds rate cuts came one day after it brokered and
largely financed the takeover of Bear Stearns, the fifth largest
US investment bank, by JP Morgan Chase. The fire sale of Bear
Stearns, which was on the verge of filing for bankruptcy protection,
followed a week of unprecedented moves by the Fed to stave off
a broader collapse in financial markets by offering huge loans,
not only to commercial banks, but also to investment banks and
brokerage houses, in return for billions in mortgage-backed securities
that have plummeted in value since the collapse of the US housing
market.
By agreeing to swap Fed funds for potentially worthless mortgage
bonds, the Fed intervened into the financial system in a manner
not seen since the Great Depression of the 1930s. It only convinced
JP Morgan Chase to take over the bankrupt Bear Stearns by agreeing
to insure some $30 billion in illiquid assets held by the 85-year-old
investment bank.
This means that the Fed is pledging its own funds to bail out
financial houses and commercial banks that have been staggered
by billions of dollars in losses from the collapse of mortgage-backed
securities and other risky investments. Ultimately, the cost will
be borne by US taxpayers in the form of curtailed remittances
from the Fed to the US Treasury.
More than the Feds interest rate cuts, these extraordinary
moves to bail out Wall Street accounted for the euphoria, however
short-lived, that prevailed on the stock exchanges Tuesday.
That deep anxieties and uncertainty remain was indicated by
a front-page article in Tuesdays Wall Street Journal,
which began: The past six days have shaken American capitalism.
Share prices for the stock of investment banks Goldman Sachs
and Lehman Brothers rose substantially despite first quarter reports
that showed sharp declines in earnings from the previous year
and billions more in mortgage-related write-downs. This was because
the market had feared even worse results.
Lehman Brothers, in particular, has been the subject of growing
default rumors largely because it, like Bear Stearns, is based
largely on business related to the underwriting of subprime mortgages.
At the end of last week, some clients began withdrawing funds
and creditors indicated they might stop lending money to the firm.
Goldman Sachs profits fell 53 percent compared to 2007,
and the firm wrote off another $ 2 billion in bad investments.
Lehman Brothers reported a fall in profits of 57 percent and an
additional $1.8 billion in write-downs.
The new interest rate cuts can only exacerbate the decline
in the dollar, which has already fallen to record or near-record
lows against the euro, the yen and other currencies. There are
already signs that the dollars plunge is having serious
effects on the financing of US trade.
As the dollar falls, foreign investors suffer losses on the
money they invest in the US to finance the US current account
deficit. Carlos Asilis of Glovista Investments told the Wall
Street Journal, The whole world is focused on the financial
crisis and the US is really the epicenter of the tension. As a
result, were seeing capital flow out of the US.
The Wall Street Journal commented: That is a troubling
prospect for a savings-short, debt-heavy economy that relies on
$2 billion a day from abroad. [...] But while foreign cash continues
to pour into the US from abroad, this flow has been slowing. In
2007, foreigners net acquisitions of long-term bonds and
stocks in the US was $596 billion, down from $722 billion in 2006,
according to Treasury Department data.
According to a new US Treasury Department report, January inflows
dropped to $37.4 billion from $72.7 billion in Decembernot
enough to cover the $58.2 billion trade deficit.
Such concerns explain why the 0.75 percent rate cut was controversial
in the Federal Reserves policy-making Federal Open Market
Committee. Two of the ten membersRichard W. Fisher of the
Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas and Charles I. Plosser of the Federal
Reserve Bank of Philadelphiavoted against the action, specifying
they would have preferred a smaller rate cut.
Economic data reported Monday and Tuesday pointed to the growing
impact within the broader economy of the financial turmoil shaking
Wall Street.
A government report released Monday showed an unexpectedly
steep decline of 0.5 percent in February US manufacturing activity.
US retail sales fell 0.6 percent, led by falls in consumers
purchases of furniture, appliances, and automobiles. Car production
fell 1 percent, and utilities production fell 3.7 percent.
Housing starts fell 0.6 percent in February, according to US
Commerce Department data. Building permit activity, a sign of
future construction plans, fell 7.8 percent to a rate of 978,000
units per year, the slowest since September 1991.
Inflation is also rising. The core producer price index rose
0.5 percent last monthan annual rate of 6.2 percentsurpassing
Wall Streets expectations of a 0.2 percent increase.
US airline companies, hit by soaring fuel prices, announced
major cutbacks and job reductions. Delta Airlines said it would
offer early retirement buyouts to 30,000 employees, adding that
it would eliminate at least 2,000 jobs through layoffs if it failed
to achieve sufficient staff cuts through buyouts.
It also said it would ground up to 45 planes and eliminate
10 percent of its transport capacity inside the US. United Airlines
also announced plans to ground up to 20 planes.
See Also:
Shades of 1929: Bear Stearns collapse
signals deepest crisis since Great Depression
[18 March 2008]
After the Bear Stearns bailout: Fears
of more Wall Street failures
[17 March 2008]
Fed rescue of Bear Stearns raises specter
of Depression-era crash
[15 March 2008]
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