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Putin-Medvedev tandem wins presidential election in Russia
By Vladimir Volkov
4 March 2008
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The presidential elections held March 2 in Russia ended, as
expected, in a victory for the tandem made up of the departing
president, Vladimir Putin, and the former vice premier, Dmitry
Medvedev.
Medvedev, the Kremlins main candidate, personally chosen
by Putin as his successor and supported by the administrative,
financial and media resources of the authoritarian Russian regime,
won in the first round of voting by a wide margin over three other
candidates.
According to data from the Central Election Committee, with
99.5 percent of the ballots counted Medvedev had won 70.23 percent
of the votes; Gennady Zyuganov, leader of the Communist Party,
had won 17.76 percent; the head of the right-wing nationalist
Liberal-Democratic Party, Vladimir Zhirinovsky, had obtained 9.37
percent; and the leader of the tiny Democratic Party, Andrei Bogdanov,
had polled 1.29 percent.
Voter turnout was 69.61 percent, a bit lower than the previous
presidential election in 2004. But the Kremlin deemed the overall
result sufficient to provide the appearance of legitimacy in the
transfer of presidential power.
The election campaign took place under conditions of gross
violations of elementary democratic procedures, similar to those
which occurred in the parliamentary (Duma) elections held last
December. In the earlier elections, the victory of the Kremlin-bureaucratic
party United Russia was achieved with the aid of administrative
resources and fraud.
In several regions the number of those voting in December reached
nearly 100 percent, and in some places the official turnout even
exceeded the maximum possible. At the conclusion of the elections
to the Duma, nearly 200 of the 450 newly elected deputies handed
over their mandates to other people. In their stead, deputy governors,
mayors and other representatives, for whom no one had voted, became
deputies.
The parliamentary elections were declared a vote of confidence
in Putin, and the subsequent propaganda campaign was built
around the proposition that the Russian people had already made
their choice, which now had simply to be formalized with
regard to the presidential candidate who had been selected by
Putin.
The procedure of nominating and registering candidates for
president in Russia at the present time is both repressive and
forbidding, making it practically impossible for a figure who
is not approved by the authorities to appear on the ballot.
Some three weeks were allocated for nominating candidates,
during which time a prospective candidate had to prepare and conduct
a meeting of no less than 500 citizens. One of the leaders of
the liberal opposition, former world chess champion Garry Kasparov,
was not able to hold such a meeting because the administrative
building where space had been rented suddenly annulled the contract.
Kasparov, who has no problems with money, was not able to find
another place in Moscow, and was forced to cancel his candidacy.
The second stage was the gathering of 2 million signatures
nationwide, which had to be accomplished by the middle of January.
The first two weeks of the new year in Russia are holidays, and
many people spend the time at home or on vacation.
It is virtually impossible to gather the required number of
signatures within the designated period. As a result, the election
lists submitted are, for the most part, fake, allowing the authorities
to disqualify candidates they consider to be unsuitable.
That is what happened with Mikhail Kasyanov, who was the premier
during Putins first term as president in 2000-2004, and
who now is one of the main representatives of the liberal opposition.
Retaining his old authority in the state apparatus, and enjoying
the support of big business, Kasyanov is viewed by the Kremlin
as a dangerous opponent.
The Central Election Committee found that around 15 percent
of his ballot papers were invalid, while the allowed number is
5 percent.
On the other hand, the election committee ruled that Andrei
Bogdanov, a candidate supported by the Kremlin as a lure for the
liberally inclined electorate, passed muster with only 3 percent
invalid signatures. The party headed by Bogdanov had received
a total of 90,000 votes in the parliamentary elections. This did
not prevent him from collecting the necessary signatures to run
for presidenta number more than twenty times the votes his
party had just received.
Medvedevs election campaign was, in fact, an undertaking
conducted by the state apparatus. His staff was run by the head
of the presidents administration, Sergei Sobyanin, and the
heads of the majority of regional staffs were deputy governors.
The first conference of the leaders of Medvedevs regional
headquarters was held in the building that houses the Russian
presidents offices on Moscows Old Squarethe
bastion of the former Soviet bureaucracy.
Medvedev refused to appear personally at the reception held
for the candidates registration certification, even though
he was in Moscow. He also refused to participate in the television
debates.
He conducted his entire campaign while remaining at the post
of vice premier and repeatedly appearing in public with President
Putin. He participated in several important international meetings,
in particular, the signing of the pact with Serbia on the construction
of gas pipeline branches for the South Stream.
The amount of television coverage Medvedev enjoyed was three
times greater than that of all the other candidates, whose television
debates were broadcast early in the morning and late at night.
All of this was calculated to convince the voters that Medvedev
was not a candidate competing against others, but rather the inevitable
winner for whom there was no alternative.
The final trump card employed by the Kremlin was the formation
within the Central Election Committee, five days before the election,
of a so-called working group. Members of this body,
which was not provided for by law, were limited to representatives
of the ruling party, United Russia. The working group
was given the exclusive right to count and verify the actual ballots.
All of these efforts produced the desired results. Even without
them, Medvedev might have won by a substantial margin. However,
the Kremlin higher-ups understand well that the real moods in
society are replete with feelings of dissatisfaction which could
find sudden expression if the bulldog grip from above were relaxed.
An important factor in realizing the Kremlins plans was
the political prostration of all of the other political forces
and their readiness to accept the rules of the game as dictated
from above.
None of the parties of official Russian politicsbe they
liberals or Russian nationalistsrepresent the interests
of the workers. They serve instead as instruments in the hands
of one or another layer of the ruling oligarchy and upper bureaucracy.
They fear the growing discontent from below more than the humiliation
they receive at the hands of the authoritarian Kremlin powers.
Medvedevs election campaign proceeded under the slogan
of continuing Putins course, and was accompanied
by a flood of demagogy and lies. Using favorable macroeconomic
indicators and the strengthened position of Russian capitalism
on the international arenaas a result of the vast inflation
in energy pricesMedvedev and Putin claimed that their economic
success benefited not only the upper crust, but also
wide layers of society.
Thus, in speaking last month at a session of the State Council,
Putin declared: We must free the country from the vicious
practice of making state decisions under the pressure of natural
resource and finance monopolies, of media magnates, foreign political
circles and unbridled populists, where not only the national interest,
but the elementary demands of millions of people are cynically
ignored.
Meanwhile, a central result of Putins rule has been a
vast growth in social inequality and the impoverishment of significant
layers of society.
In an opinion piece in the March 3 edition of the government
newspaper Russian Gazette, Evgeny Gontmakher, head of the Center
of Social Policy at the Institute of Economics of the Russian
Academy of Science, wrote that the quality of life has declined
for the majority of the population (even those considered moderately
well-off).
Thus, in particular, he continued, quality
health care and education to an ever greater extent must be paid
for. In addition, people are forced to pay unofficially. As a
result, only 15-20 percent of the population are able to maintain
their health at a decent level and give their children a competitive
education... The rest are forced to vegetate.
Gontmakher noted one more troubling fact: the ratio
of the average pension to the average wage in Russia is constantly
decreasing, and has now fallen to less than 25 percent, where
the minimum norm is 40 percent.
In contrast, the Russian oligarchs are becoming ever wealthier.
The journal Finance, in its yearly survey, noted that in
one year the wealth of Oleg Deripaska, the most successful Russian
businessman, almost doubled, and has reached $40 billion. In recent
years, the number of dollar billionaires in Russia has almost
doubledfrom 61 to 101 people.
See Also:
Kosovan independence could
ignite new conflicts in territories of former Soviet Union
[29 February 2008]
Medvedevs presidential
campaign and the growing social crisis in Russia
[22 January 2008]
Russias presidential
candidate D. Medvedev and the Kremlins national projects
[5 January 2008]
Russian President
Putin names his putative successor
[18 December 2007]
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