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WSWS : News
& Analysis : Asia
: The fall
of Suharto
Mondale sent to Jakarta
Aggressive US intervention in Indonesia
5 March 1998
By Peter Symonds
The Clinton administration dispatched former vice-president
Walter Mondale to Jakarta this week as part of a campaign to ensure
that the Suharto dictatorship fully implements IMF restructuring
and austerity measures agreed to in January.
After a one-and-a-half hour meeting with Suharto, Mondale emerged
to demand "full, demonstrable and vigorous implementation"
of the IMF plan to deregulate the Indonesian economy as the price
for a $US38 billion financial bailout.
Mondale's arrival was pointedly timed to coincide with the
opening days of Indonesia's People's Consultative Assembly (MPR)--a
handpicked body that gathers once every five years to endorse
the military's choice of president and vice-president. As Mondale
landed, US Treasury Secretary Robert Rubin publicly questioned
Suharto's willingness to carry out the IMF plan. IMF officials
were also in Indonesia to assess Suharto's performance.
The Clinton administration's intervention underscores its determination
to remove all barriers to the unfettered exploitation of Indonesia's
cheap labour and natural wealth by US big business. Its central
demand is that Suharto end all special monopoly rights, tax breaks
and other economic privileges afforded to businesses connected
with his family and cronies. These conglomerates stand in the
way of US corporate investors muscling in to profit from Indonesia's
economic collapse.
In the leadup to Mondale's visit, reports appeared in the Western
financial media accusing the military regime of backtracking on
the IMF timetable for dismantling monopoly rights. The Australian
Financial Review, for example, revealed plans to revive the
clove monopoly owned by Suharto's youngest son Hutomo (Tommy)
Mandala Putra, and the plywood monopoly controlled by close Suharto
associate Mohamad (Bob) Hasan. It noted that special tax arrangements
continued to apply to Hutomo's national car project.
Rubin categorically denied that Mondale would deliver a private
message from Clinton demanding that Suharto step down. Clearly,
however, the White House is weighing its options. According to
a recent report in the Los Angeles Times, the administration
held closed door meetings to discuss "the Manila scenario"--a
reference to the US-backed ousting of the Marcos dictatorship
in the Philippines in 1986. Marcos was forced out of office by
Cory Aquino, a leading member of one of the Philippines' wealthiest
families. Backed by sections of the military, Aquino exploited
the widespread popular opposition to Marcos to establish a capitalist
regime more amenable to US interests.
The LA Times reported that the Manila option had been
shelved--for the time being. According to one unnamed official,
the highest priority for the US was "stability, which is
in a true sense a political matter ... If you start trying to
pull the plug on Suharto now, the question is, what could happen?"
Another US official pointed to the lack of a unified political
opposition. Since Clinton came to office his administration has
given support to the opposition figure Megawati Sukarnoputri,
daughter of former president Sukarno. Megawati and her ally, Amien
Rais, head of the Muhammadiyah Islamic organisation, have pledged
to implement the IMF program. They represent sections of the Indonesian
capitalist class currently shut out by the Suharto clique. However,
the US fears that Megawati and Amien will not be able to control
any mass movement that erupts.
Suharto used the nationally televised opening session of the
Consultative Assembly to hit back at the IMF, the US and other
critics. He branded the IMF package a failure and called for a
revamped package--an "IMF-plus"--to stabilise the economy.
"[The] international community realises that unless the crisis
is resolved properly it might eventually become a global-scale
crisis," he said.
Suharto and his cronies cannot afford to accede to the US and
IMF demands. Over the last six months, share prices and the Indonesian
rupiah have crashed, ruining the country's debt-burdened banks
and corporations. BusinessWeek has reported that the country's
largest private conglomerate, the Salim Group, owned by Suharto's
closest business associates, was valued at $US5.9 billion last
September but was "now virtually worthless". Its two
major components, Indocement and Indofood, cannot pay their international
debts or finance their operations as long as the rupiah remains
at a quarter of its previous value.
Suharto has persisted with plans to prop up the rupiah through
the formation of a currency board, in which the rupiah would be
pegged to the US dollar, despite an IMF threat to withdraw its
cash. He has also pressed ahead with the nomination of Research
and Technology Minister Yusuf Habibie as vice-president. Habibie
advocates a high degree of government regulation and an expansion
of state-sponsored economic projects. Suharto has gone to extraordinary
lengths to ensure that no rivals to himself or Habibie will be
nominated during the assembly sessions.
Suharto's reference to "a global scale crisis" if
his government is not supported plays on the very real fears in
ruling circles around the world of the consequences of an economic
and social catastrophe in Indonesia. The world's fourth most populous
country, it is of immense economic and strategic importance. Not
only is it an important source of raw materials and cheap labour;
it controls many of the key sea routes between Asia and the rest
of the world, and between the Pacific and Indian Oceans.
Any upheaval in Indonesia would have immediate repercussions
in nearby states such as Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand and the
Philippines, also hard hit by the economic crisis. The Australian
government, particularly sensitive to the dangers of social unrest
in neighbouring Indonesia, has offered millions of dollars in
extra aid to shore up the Suharto junta and is calling on the
IMF and the US to soften their demands for the removal of price
controls.
The social crisis is rapidly worsening. Prices for food and
other essential commodities have already doubled and trebled,
just as millions have lost their jobs. A recent World Bank report
warned that a severe drought was creating the potential "for
a serious food crisis with wide social consequences." It
said the country would need to import at least four million tonnes
of rice this year.
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